Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000509 0.000566 0.000628 0.000701 0.000783 0.000875 0.000984
2025-11-23 0.000412 0.000490 0.000582 0.000698 0.000844 0.001021 0.001256
2025-11-30 0.000355 0.000443 0.000553 0.000702 0.000900 0.001160 0.001533
2025-12-07 0.000319 0.000414 0.000537 0.000714 0.000963 0.001311 0.001845
2025-12-14 0.000289 0.000387 0.000519 0.000717 0.001010 0.001442 0.002150
2025-12-21 0.000270 0.000371 0.000514 0.000735 0.001079 0.001612 0.002539
2025-12-28 0.000244 0.000344 0.000489 0.000720 0.001093 0.001697 0.002803
2026-01-04 0.000226 0.000326 0.000474 0.000718 0.001127 0.001817 0.003147
2026-01-11 0.000212 0.000311 0.000462 0.000719 0.001164 0.001946 0.003532
2026-01-18 0.000200 0.000299 0.000453 0.000723 0.001206 0.002089 0.003969
2026-01-25 0.000188 0.000286 0.000442 0.000721 0.001236 0.002213 0.004392
2026-02-01 0.000179 0.000277 0.000436 0.000728 0.001285 0.002380 0.004941
2026-02-08 0.000168 0.000264 0.000424 0.000723 0.001310 0.002509 0.005448
2026-02-15 0.000159 0.000253 0.000412 0.000719 0.001340 0.002652 0.006031
2026-02-22 0.000151 0.000244 0.000405 0.000722 0.001382 0.002832 0.006756
2026-03-01 0.000145 0.000239 0.000403 0.000735 0.001446 0.003071 0.007709
2026-03-08 0.000139 0.000231 0.000397 0.000738 0.001491 0.003274 0.008622
2026-03-15 0.000135 0.000228 0.000398 0.000757 0.001574 0.003583 0.009960
2026-03-22 0.000127 0.000217 0.000383 0.000741 0.001573 0.003681 0.010655
2026-03-29 0.000121 0.000210 0.000376 0.000739 0.001605 0.003873 0.011736
2026-04-05 0.000117 0.000204 0.000370 0.000740 0.001645 0.004093 0.013004
2026-04-12 0.000112 0.000199 0.000365 0.000744 0.001694 0.004348 0.014505
2026-04-19 0.000108 0.000193 0.000359 0.000742 0.001725 0.004558 0.015921